IPL 4 Predictions

IPL 4 begins tomorrow 8th April 2011, with opening match in Chennai. Each of the 10 teams play 14 games with 7 home and 7 away. Making it 70 matches. There would be 4 more maches to determine the winner of IPL 4, the final match to be held on 28th May in Mumbai. The format for the final 4 teams is slightly different with the top 2 teams getting an extra chance to qualify for the final  thus getting to the top 2 positions important in league phase.

The top 3 teams of course qualify for the Champions Trophy, later this year.

12 Cities play host to the matches. Pune team has their home base in Navi Mumbai and Kochi team plays couple of matches in Indore while Kings XI Punjab play few matches in Dharamsala. With 74 matches in 50 days it would be a tough schedule for every team, what with travelling across India

With Lalit Modi, the architect of the first 3 versions, nowhere to be seen it would be a different tournament at least from the glamor point of view. Which is good as well as concentration would be on good cricket rather than good looking models and parties.

 

 

My predictions – Mostly based on team compositions, players, captains and coaches and mostly gut feeling.

MI, RCB, PSW and CSK as the top 4 and Kochi and Rajasthan Royals the bottom 2.

Just a  wild guess. Lets see.

Let the fun begin.

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IPL could have a 6- way Tie

IPL is reaching a very crucial and interesting state now and with just 2 or 3 games left each team it could be “anybody’s game” as Ravi Shastri would put it.

Mumbai Indians is the only sure shot entry to the semi finals with 16 points and other teams following closely behind. RR- RCB-DD are tied on 12 points and CSK-DC-KKR are tied on 10 points with KXIP occupying the last spot with 8 points.

Considering the schedule of the remaining matches, there could be a 5 way or even 6 way  tie for the remaining 3 semi final spots. The results have to follow a particular pattern which is of course not guarantee to happen however the scenario cannot be ruled out either. Here’s how it can happen

Match Between –  Place –  Result –  2 Points to

DC * RCB – Nagpur- DC Winning – DC goes to 12 points
MI *  DD – Mumbai – MI Winning – MI goes to 18 points
CSK * KKR – Chennai – CSK winning -CSK goes to 12 points
RR * RCB – Jaipur – RR winning –  RR goes to 14 points
CSJ * DD – Chennai – CSK winning – CSK goes to 14 points
KXIP * DC – Dharamsala – DC winning – DC goes to 14 points
RCB * MI – Bangalore – RCB winning RCB goes to  14 points
KKR * RR – Kolkata – KKR winning – KKR goes to 12 points
KXIP * CSK – Dharamsala – KXIP winning- KXIP goes to 10 points
DD * DC – Delhi –  DD winning – DD goes to 14 points
KKR * MI – Kolkata – KKR winning – KKR goes to 14 points

This would result in MI occupying top spot with 18 points and KXIP bottom with 10 points and 6 other teams tied with 14 points.
THIS CAN HAPPEN. Net Run rate becomes very crucial and no one can say which 3 team would qualify, not even Ravi Shastri with his deep insight and Lalit Modi with his deep pockets.

Welcome Pune and Kochi, Sorry Ahmedabad !!

Pune and Kochi were the chosen cities for the 2 new IPL teams to be added to the existing eight from the next season in 2011. The entire bidding process was earlier cancelled and bids were re-invited and winners were declared today in a much hyped press conference in Chennai.

When the bids were yet to be opened, cities like Ahmedabad, Kanpur, Nagpur, Pune, Vizag, Indore, Kochi etc. were in the fray and it was learnt that 5 proper bids were received. It was widely thought that bids from Videocon group, Sahara Group, Adani group etc. would be the winners and most people expected Ahmedabad and perhaps Pune to be the host cities of the new franchises.

Sahara Group turned out to be the highest bidder with 370 Million $ and they chose Pune as their host city. The next highest bidder was a consortium of 5 companies named Rendezvous Sports World who bid 333.33 million $ for the franchise to be hosted in Kochi. The other bidders bid close to 320 million $ each but of course only 2 teams were to be chosen and they lost out. The losers included Videocon group, Adani Group etc.

Sahara Group opting for Pune over Ahmedabad and Nagpur was perhaps more a business decision than a cricketing decision. Pune being a city on par with Ahmedabad in most ways is almost a twin city of Mumbai, who already have a powerful franchise in Mumbai Indians, thus their cricketing catchment area would most certainly overlap. In Ahmedabad you had a huge catchment area comprising of 3 Ranji teams of Gujarat, Baroda and Saurashtra, waiting to be tapped. Sahara surely had other reasons to select Pune over Ahmedabad.

Kochi was a complete surprise, even for the IPL head honcho Lalit Modi himself. Post the announcement he struggled to name the winning group and its leading person and later when asked about who the actual owners were of the team, had to refer to his notes and finally had to take help of the winning team head to declare who actually the owners were. It turned out that owners of Rendezvous Sports World are a group of builders, real estate developers based in Kerala. Kochi at present, does not even have a proper cricket stadium and uses a football stadium to host international matches,  however the real estate developers in the winning team would certainly be licking their lips at the thought of building a brand new stadium.

Ahmedabad is perhaps unlucky to lose out on a lucrative offer of hosting an IPL franchise. The 2 new franchises gave the IPL an amount close to Rs. 3200 crores which is more than selling of previous 8 franchises put togather, Rs. 2,800 crores. Lalit Modi announced that there would be no further expansion of IPL, atleast in near future. But with the kind of money available and the interest shown by leading coroporate houses in hosting an IPL franchise one can never say, never to the idea of more teams say in 3 years time. Ahmedabad can perhaps try their luck that time.

Any guesses for the names of the 2 new teams. My guesses would be Pune Panthers and Kochi Cobras.