IPL 4 – Players to Retain

Now that IPL 3 is done and over with, atleast on field, all the player and team contracts signed before the first IPL are null and void and fresh new contracts need to be signed for every player, coach, other team members etc.

The Mega auction featuring all free agent players, new players for all 10 teams will be held in the month of October after the Champions League tournament in South Africa however the existing 8 franchises will be allowed to retain certain no. of players ( 4 Indians and 3 Non-Indians) as they form the core of the team and they have built their brand around them.

Here’s my view of the players the franchises would like to retain with them. Of course the players would have their own say and might not want to be retained , hoping for a better value in the open auction.

Beginning with IPL 3 Champions –  Chennai SuperKings – They have built their brand around M S Dhoni and they would love to have him, Suresh Raina, Murali Vijay ( the find of the season) and perhaps S Badrinath as their 4 Indian players. They can even go for R Ashwin but I think Ashwin would fetch a better price in the auction. As their overseas players they would retain Hayden if he is willing to come back or Hussey if Hayden is not available and Muralidharan for sure. Their major overseas players Jacob Oram and Flintoff were not available this year and knowing their fitness woes one can never tell if they would be available next season or not. They also might want to retain Doug Bollinger but the auction suits him more.

Brand Mumbai Indians and Sachin Tendulkar goes hand in hand and the team is not the same without their brand icon. The would also do well to retain Harbhajan Singh and Zaheer Khan but either of them can be lured by one of the new team with the added bonus of Captaincy. Saurabh Tiwary, Ambati Rayadu and Sathish along with Shikhar Dhawan are the 3 consistent domestic performers for the team but all of them would fetch a much bigger price then their current price in the auction and I doubt if they can be persuaded to stay back. From the overseas department MI would not let Keiron Pollard go and perhaps Dwayne Bravo too.  Lasith Malinga is someone whom they would love to keep as long as he is fit enough to bowl those deadly yorkers.

Bangalore Royal Challengers would be inclined to stick upto Kumble, Dravid ( if he is willing to continue) and perhaps Uthappa and Manish Pandey, however the new franchises might be eying them with a truckload of money. Virat Kohli, Vinay Kumar also performed decently and Vinay Kumar might be retained if he increases his brand value with good performance for Team India. Kohli would sure like a shot at another time which would give him more to do. Kaalis and Peterson become their automatic Overseas choice and perhaps they would retain someone like Ross Taylor although he did underperform this year. Eoin Morgan and Cameron White were under utilized and perhaps they would do better with another team.

Deccan Chargers are hoping that Adam Gilchrist returns and so does Andrew Symonds. Amongst the Indian players they would certainly want Rohit Sharma and Pragyan Ojha to stay back. V V S Laxman is a mystery as on current form he needs to let go the T-20 format but no one represents Hyderabad more than Laxman. They might also want someone like T Suman and  R .P. Singh around. Amongst the other overseas players Ryan Harris is a nice fit in the team, however his stock is rising in the current Australian setup and he might feel he would command a better auction price. Dwyane Smith was underutlised and he maybe headed the auction way and as far as Chaminda Vaas and Gibbs are concerned , the road is more or less over for them, as far as IPL goes.

Delhi Daredevils is a team full of resources they would love to keep back.  Veeru and Gauti are automatic choices and so are players like Dinesh Karthik and Amit Mishra. They might let go Ashish Nehra. In the overseas department they have resources like David Warner, Dilshan, Mahraroof and Dirk Nannes, not to forget A B Deviliers, Paul Collingwood and Daniel Vettori. They would certainly like to retain one of Warner or Dilshan and certainly Dirk Nannes. A B Devilliers didnt play much of second half this year and neither did Vettori. Collingwood looks well settled to be retained.

Rajasthan Royals have a bit of trouble. Unless their Mega star Shane Warne returns they do not have any major International players in he team barring except Graeme Smith who would then lead the side. They would also retain Shane Watson. Amnogst the Indian players Yusuf Pathan is a certainty to be retained and so are players like Naman Ojha and Siddharth Trivedi. Apart from the 2 new franchises this team needs to buy some big international and local players to make it a real competitive team.

Kolkata Knightriders have too many good under utilized resources. Amongst the Indian players they would retain Ganguly unless Ganguly makes the correct decision of not playing the next year. Manoj Tiwary is certain to be retained as the local flavour and perhaps they would do right to retain Murali Kartik as well. Ishant Sharma had a lousy season but then most of KKR players had that.  Chris Gayle and Brendom Mccullum are 2 hot favorites to be retained and they also have quality players like David Hussey, Shane Bond, Angelo Matthews and Ajanta Mendis to choose from. It depends on whom the team owners and Ganguly prefer to stay around, also the players should be willing to stay with KKR.

Kings XI Punjab are certainly not the team they turned out to be in this IPL. They are far better than their 8th position suggests. Unless Yuvraj Singh has other plans he would and should be retained by the franchise. Irfan Pathan is too good a talent not to be retained however if he improves a bit, he has fare better chances in the auction as an allrounder. Kumar Sangakkara and Mahela Jayavardane are sure to return and perhaps Brett Lee too will give it a last shot. Ravi Bopara and Shaun Marsh are 2 good talents and perhaps the team would retain 1 of them. Piyush Chawala would fill up one of the domestic spot.

Apart from above, I might have missed out on some obvious names and would have named some players who would obviously be dropped for reasons I do not know yet.  The mega auction in October would be real treat to follow.

Meanwhile, the 9th IPL Team and the costliest one owned by Sahara for Pune City has announced its name as Sahara Pune Warriors and they have already chalked up plans to grab and lure major stars both in auction and pre-auction.  There is also a major battle going on between the ex-IPL chief Lalit Modi and BCCI and we never know what new rules might come out for auction and whether existing franchises will be allowed to retain 7 players or more or less.

Lets see how the action unfolds in the time to come.

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IPL – Final 4

The IPL is entering its last stage and big 4 matches awaits us all.

The semifinals are now shifted to Navi Mumbai from Bangalore due to the security issues arising after the low intensity bomb blasts in Bangalore. At the beginning of the tournament I had predicted MI, DD,RCB and CSK to make it to the semis in my post https://chin512.wordpress.com/2010/03/12/ipl-3-0-predictions/ . I have been proven 75% right with DC making it instead of DD and unless KKR does a miracle , that result would remain the same.

KKR needs more than a miracle actually, they need to beat MI by a margin of about 175  runs or so or if the field first, they need to overhaul the target set by MI in about 1 over..both of these sound impossible to achieve i the context of a T-20 match, unless of course Rajnikanth decides to play in place of Ganguly.

IPL has had many a controversies this season, its time for now some good quality cricket to take over. Lets hope the final four matches present top quality cricket and may the best team on that evening win.

IPL could have a 6- way Tie

IPL is reaching a very crucial and interesting state now and with just 2 or 3 games left each team it could be “anybody’s game” as Ravi Shastri would put it.

Mumbai Indians is the only sure shot entry to the semi finals with 16 points and other teams following closely behind. RR- RCB-DD are tied on 12 points and CSK-DC-KKR are tied on 10 points with KXIP occupying the last spot with 8 points.

Considering the schedule of the remaining matches, there could be a 5 way or even 6 way  tie for the remaining 3 semi final spots. The results have to follow a particular pattern which is of course not guarantee to happen however the scenario cannot be ruled out either. Here’s how it can happen

Match Between –  Place –  Result –  2 Points to

DC * RCB – Nagpur- DC Winning – DC goes to 12 points
MI *  DD – Mumbai – MI Winning – MI goes to 18 points
CSK * KKR – Chennai – CSK winning -CSK goes to 12 points
RR * RCB – Jaipur – RR winning –  RR goes to 14 points
CSJ * DD – Chennai – CSK winning – CSK goes to 14 points
KXIP * DC – Dharamsala – DC winning – DC goes to 14 points
RCB * MI – Bangalore – RCB winning RCB goes to  14 points
KKR * RR – Kolkata – KKR winning – KKR goes to 12 points
KXIP * CSK – Dharamsala – KXIP winning- KXIP goes to 10 points
DD * DC – Delhi –  DD winning – DD goes to 14 points
KKR * MI – Kolkata – KKR winning – KKR goes to 14 points

This would result in MI occupying top spot with 18 points and KXIP bottom with 10 points and 6 other teams tied with 14 points.
THIS CAN HAPPEN. Net Run rate becomes very crucial and no one can say which 3 team would qualify, not even Ravi Shastri with his deep insight and Lalit Modi with his deep pockets.